Home values continued their rapid rise in August, climbing 6.6 percent year-over-year to a Zillow Home Value Index of $162,100, the largest annual gain since July 2006. However, signs are emerging that the pace of home value appreciation is beginning to slow in the face of rising mortgage interest rates and increased supply.
National home values have risen or remained flat month-over-month for almost two years, but August marked the third consecutive month in which monthly home values rose more slowly than the month prior. After the pace of monthly home value appreciation peaked for the year at 0.9 percent in May, monthly home value growth slowed to 0.7 percent in June, 0.6 percent in July and 0.4 percent in August.
A majority (85 percent) of the 382 metros covered in August experienced annual home value appreciation. Among the 30 largest metro areas covered by Zillow, 20 saw annual appreciation of 10 percent or more. Metros with notable annual increases in August include Sacramento (34.1 percent), Las Vegas (30.6 percent) and Riverside, Calif. (29.7 percent).
For the 12-month period from August 2013 to August 2014, U.S. home values are expected to rise another 5.2 percent, to approximately $170,500, according to the Zillow Home Value Forecast, a slower pace than what the market is currently experiencing. Large metro areas expected to show the most appreciation over the next year include Riverside (21.9 percent), Sacramento (19.2 percent) and Los Angeles (13.2 percent).
“August marked the end of one of the hottest summer home shopping seasons in years, as home value appreciation rates continued their rocket ride upward – perhaps dangerously so in some metro areas,” said Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries. “Double-digit appreciation rates do help to lift homeowners out of negative equity and to entice sellers into a low-inventory environment, but this rapid growth is not normal and cannot and should not be expected to last. We are already beginning to see moderation in the monthly pace of home value appreciation, which will be good for the market overall and in the long term.”
National rents also rose in August compared with July, up 0.5 percent to a Zillow Rent Index of $1,293. Year-over-year, national rents were up 1.9 percent in August.
The number of completed foreclosures in August fell to 5.17 homes foreclosed out of every 10,000 homes nationwide, down from 5.27 homes in July. Foreclosure resales represented 8.28 percent of homes sold in the U.S. in August, down 0.3 percentage points from July and 3.1 percentage points from August 2012.
| Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) | Zillow Rent Index (ZRI) | |||||
| Metropolitan Areas | August 2013 ZHVI | Month-Month % Change | Year-Year % Change | August 2013 ZRI | Month-Month % Change | Year-Year % Change |
| United States | $162,100 | 0.40% | 6.60% | $1,293 | 0.50% | 1.90% |
| New York, NY | $351,800 | 0.60% | 3.30% | — | — | — |
| Los Angeles, CA | $483,200 | 1.70% | 22.80% | $2,318 | 0.40% | 1.60% |
| Chicago, IL | $169,700 | 1.20% | 4.90% | $1,541 | 0.40% | 0.80% |
| Philadelphia, PA | $189,600 | 0.00% | 2.50% | $1,503 | 0.10% | 0.70% |
| Washington, DC | $341,900 | 0.80% | 8.90% | $2,089 | 0.40% | 1.50% |
| Miami-Fort Lauderdale, FL | $170,200 | 1.50% | 15.20% | $1,659 | 0.60% | 4.00% |
| Atlanta, GA | $126,000 | 1.60% | 13.30% | $1,138 | 0.40% | 1.20% |
| Boston, MA | $341,200 | 1.20% | 10.10% | $1,997 | 0.10% | 3.50% |
| San Francisco, CA | $633,700 | 1.50% | 28.10% | $2,555 | 0.30% | 2.90% |
| Detroit, MI | $93,700 | 1.70% | 20.30% | $1,044 | 0.70% | 2.00% |
| Riverside, CA | $241,700 | 3.00% | 29.70% | $1,586 | 0.20% | 2.60% |
| Phoenix, AZ | $181,400 | 1.50% | 20.90% | $1,145 | 0.00% | -0.40% |
| Seattle, WA | $305,900 | 1.40% | 16.00% | $1,672 | 0.70% | 3.80% |
| Minneapolis-St Paul, MN | $197,100 | 2.00% | 16.30% | $1,463 | 0.40% | 1.50% |
| San Diego, CA | $436,000 | 1.80% | 23.70% | $2,149 | 0.20% | 2.50% |
| St. Louis, MO | $128,300 | -0.10% | 1.70% | $1,091 | 1.00% | -1.40% |
| Tampa, FL | $127,000 | 1.70% | 15.60% | $1,207 | 0.20% | 2.80% |
| Baltimore, MD | $230,000 | 0.30% | 6.00% | $1,683 | 0.40% | 0.20% |
| Denver, CO | $248,600 | 1.30% | 14.50% | $1,577 | 0.90% | 5.60% |
| Pittsburgh, PA | $112,900 | 0.80% | 4.60% | $1,005 | 1.20% | -2.00% |
| Portland, OR | $256,800 | 1.30% | 15.80% | $1,433 | 0.50% | 3.30% |
| Sacramento, CA | $279,600 | 2.00% | 34.10% | $1,466 | 0.30% | 0.30% |
| Orlando, FL | $143,000 | 1.80% | 17.50% | $1,246 | 0.30% | 3.80% |
| Cincinnati, OH | $127,700 | 0.70% | 4.00% | $1,122 | -0.90% | 7.30% |
| Cleveland, OH | $115,100 | 0.30% | 5.10% | $1,109 | 0.20% | 3.30% |
| Las Vegas, NV | $156,600 | 2.80% | 30.60% | $1,159 | 0.30% | 0.90% |
| San Jose, CA | $734,500 | 0.90% | 24.00% | $2,685 | 0.60% | 3.80% |
| Columbus, OH | $132,200 | 0.40% | 6.40% | $1,192 | 0.80% | 3.40% |
| Charlotte, NC | $139,100 | 0.30% | 2.90% | $1,144 | 0.00% | 0.30% |
| Indianapolis, IN | $137,500 | 0.80% | 10% | $1,155 | 0.20% | 1.10% |
via Zillow Blog - Real Estate Market Stats, Celebrity Real Estate, and Zillow News http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ZillowBlog/~3/N8Qcrrrzpus/,www.greaterftmyershomes.com
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